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02/09/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Bucks hope to finish a brief two-game homestand in perfect fashion Tuesday, when they welcome the Central Division- rival Detroit Pistons to the Bradley Center.
The Bucks won for the fifth time in six games on Saturday, when Andrew Bogut finished with 21 points and eight rebounds in Milwaukee's 93-81 win over the Indiana Pacers.
Luc Mbah a Moute added 18 points and 11 boards for the Bucks, who have won seven straight on their home floor and now sport a 16-7 mark in Brew City. Carlos Delfino and Jerry Stackhouse scored 16 and 14 points, respectively.
"There was a little bit of a cushion for us," Bucks coach Scott Skiles said. "It was their smalls against our smalls and we were fortunate enough to get it (the win)."
Milwaukee, which finished last in the Central in each of the previous three seasons, is now just percentage points behind Miami for the eighth and final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff hunt.
The Pistons, meanwhile, have taken up residence in the Central's cellar this season, but are coming off a home win over lowly New Jersey on Saturday. Jonas Jerebko scored 20 points in a perfect 9-of-9 performance from the field, while also pulling down seven rebounds as Detroit earned a 99-92 victory over the Nets.
Richard Hamilton poured in 17 points and Rodney Stuckey contributed 10 points and 11 assists for the Pistons, who have won two of three since a five-game skid. However, both wins came over the hapless Nets sandwiched around a blowout loss to Indiana.
"I thought we did a great job sharing the ball," Pistons guard Will Bynum said after topping New Jersey. "Most of all, we made shots tonight. That's the key."
These two teams have spilt a pair of meetings this season, with each holding serve on its home floor. The Bucks, meanwhile, will be aiming to win eight straight as the host for the first time since a 10-game spurt from December 10, 2003-January 15, 2004.
<< Thunder close out trip in Portland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oklahoma City Thunder hope to finish off a three-game
road trip in perfect fashion on Tuesday when they meet a Portland Trail
Blazers club minus All-Star Brandon Roy at the Rose Garden.
The Thunder improved t
<< Kings hope to snap long road losing streak in MSG vs. Knicks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wins have been hard to come by lately for the Sacramento
Kings, who will try to put the brakes on a six-game losing streak Tuesday
night against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.
The Kings opened a three-game e
<< Skidding Heat host Rockets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwyane Wade and the Miami Heat hope a return to south
Florida will cure their recent woes, as they try to halt a five-game losing
streak Tuesday versus the Houston Rockets at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Miami has fallen into a
<< Sixers shoot for season-high 5th straight win vs. Wolves
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The last time Minnesota and Philadelphia got together the
Sixers blew a 20-point lead en route to an overtime loss. The 76ers will try
to maintain any sort of advantage tonight, when they try to extend their
season high winni
Nuggets host Mavericks in battle of division leaders >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of Western Conference powers meet in the Rockies
Tuesday, as the Northwest Division-leading Denver Nuggets play host to the
Southwest pacesetters, the Dallas Mavericks.
The Nuggets currently hold the second seed in
Hawks and Grizzlies meet in Memphis >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - All-Star Joe Johnson had a chance to rest thanks to a
tremendous snow storm that buried the East Coast, and will lead the Atlanta
Hawks against the Memphis Grizzlies tonight at FedEx Forum.
Saturday's tilt between the Hawk
Bruins hope to stay on track versus struggling Sabres >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With a lengthy losing streak finally behind them, the
Boston Bruins will try for another win when they visit the struggling Buffalo
Sabres for tonight's Northeast Division battle at HSBC Arena.
The Bruins ended their slide
Surging Lightning welcome Canucks >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Lightning will try to stretch their win
streak to a season high four straight games this evening versus the Vancouver
Canucks at St. Pete Times Forum.
The Lightning have won three straight for the second time
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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